Lehman exacerbated AIG. The simultaneous payouts of Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs) and Credit Default Swaps (CDSs) put catastrophic pressure on AIG.
Wall Street started bundling home loans together as mortgage-backed securities and selling slices of those bundles to investors. And they were making big money. So they started pushing the lenders saying, “come on, we need more loans.”
The lenders already had given loans to borrowers with good credit so they went bottom feeding: that is, they lowered their criteria. Before you needed a credit score of 620 and a down payment of 20%; later they would settle for 500, no money down. And the buyer, the regular guy on the street, assumed that the experts knew what they were doing. He said to himself, “if the banks are willing to loan me money, I must be able to afford it.” So he reached for the American Dream: he bought that house.
The banks knew that securities based on shit-bagged mortgages were risky. So to control their downside, the banks started buying a kind of insurance. If mortgages defaulted, the insurance company would pay: “default swaps”. The banks insured their potential losses to move the risk off their books so they could invest more, and make more money. While a lot of companies insured their stuff, one was dumb enough to take on an almost unbelievable amount of risk: AIG.
Why did they do that? Fees! Hundreds of millions in fees. AIG figured that the housing market would just keep going up.
But then the unexpected happened: housing prices went down. Why? The poor bastards who bought their dream houses, when the teaser rates on their mortgages ran out, their payments went up beyond what they could afford to pay, and they defaulted. And with the high default rates, the supply of existing housing on the market dramatically increased, driving prices down. As a result of the spiraling increases in defaults, and the falling prices in housing prices, the mortgage-backed securities tanked, and AIG not only had to pay off the swaps, but it had to pay all of them off, all over the world, and all at the same time. Needless to say, AIG could not pay, and therefore AIG went under.
Since AIG had insured a great number of banks, they all booked massive losses at the same time. And many of them, in turn, went under. And the whole financial system came tumbling down in 2008.
You may wonder, why wasn’t it regulated? The simple answer is that no one in the financial services industry wanted it regulated. They were all making too much money.
I love your articles…keep up the good work.
Thank you. I will. Please feel free to contribute your thoughts, comments, or articles. I deeply appreciate your interest and comments.
Thank you, again,
The Barefoot Accountant
I do not know how true is it, but in Russian TV (First Baltic Canal) was information, that crisis in Europe is provoked by USA (sorry:)). To save USD, problems to EUR provoked.
But it is according to Russian TV
Yes, very true. Many of the investment houses and banks overseas invested in these mortgage-backed securities and suffered greatly. Iceland is a perfect example: please see the very informative movie about the devastating impact on Iceland’s economy, “Inside Job”.
Thank you for your comment,
The Barefoot Accountant